Game Result Predictions
Today, February 12

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
James A. Rhodes Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Buffalo
(31-4, Road 12-3)
76 74 -6.0 70% 142 81 -20.0 100%
Akron
(15-16, Home 12-3)
70 68 +6.0 30% Actual:
146 (4)
61 +20.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Silvio Conte Forum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Pittsburgh
(14-19, Road 0-11)
57 69 +1.0 46% 139 65 +7.0 7%
Boston College
(14-17, Home 10-8)
66 70 -1.0 54% Actual:
123 (-16)
72 -7.0 93%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Stroh Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Central Michigan
(20-12, Road 7-6)
72 80 +4.0 36% 164 79 +5.0 14%
Bowling Green
(20-12, Home 12-2)
79 84 -4.0 64% Actual:
151 (-13)
84 -5.0 86%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Moby Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
San Diego State
(20-13, Road 5-7)
71 72 -1.0 54% 143 79 -16.0 100%
Colorado State
(11-20, Home 7-9)
60 71 +1.0 46% Actual:
131 (-12)
63 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Wintrust Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Marquette
(24-10, Road 7-4)
92 79 -3.0 61% 155 80 -6.0 89%
DePaul
(19-17, Home 16-7)
73 76 +3.0 39% Actual:
165 (10)
74 +6.0 11%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Rose Hill Gymnasium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Davidson
(23-10, Road 7-5)
79 65 -3.0 61% 127 73 -20.5 100%
Fordham
(11-20, Home 8-10)
69 62 +3.0 39% Actual:
148 (21)
52 +20.5 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Rupp Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
LSU
(28-7, Road 9-1)
73 70 +9.0 22% 149 69 +9.0 4%
Kentucky
(30-7, Home 17-1)
71 79 -9.0 78% Actual:
144 (-5)
78 -9.0 96%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
KFC Yum! Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Duke
(32-6, Road 7-2)
71 77 -4.0 64% 150 83 -17.0 100%
Louisville
(20-14, Home 14-4)
69 73 +4.0 36% Actual:
140 (-10)
66 +17.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
XFINITY Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Purdue
(26-10, Road 6-6)
56 70 +1.0 46% 141 71 -3.5 79%
Maryland
(23-11, Home 15-3)
70 71 -1.0 54% Actual:
126 (-15)
68 +3.5 21%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Humphrey Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Alabama
(18-16, Road 4-8)
62 68 +10.0 20% 146 66 +13.0 1%
Mississippi State
(23-11, Home 14-3)
81 78 -10.0 80% Actual:
143 (-3)
79 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mizzou Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arkansas
(18-16, Road 5-8)
78 69 +1.0 46% 139 68 +1.5 36%
Missouri
(15-17, Home 9-7)
79 70 -1.0 54% Actual:
157 (18)
69 -1.5 64%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Michigan
(11-17, Road 4-10)
66 65 +2.0 42% 132 65 +0.5 49%
Ohio
(13-17, Home 10-5)
57 67 -2.0 58% Actual:
123 (-9)
66 -0.5 51%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bryce Jordan Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan
(30-7, Road 7-4)
69 65 -5.0 67% 125 67 -11.0 98%
Penn State
(14-18, Home 9-6)
75 60 +5.0 33% Actual:
144 (19)
56 +11.0 2%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
People's United Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Rider
(16-15, Road 6-11)
88 76 +4.0 36% 156 77 +1.0 37%
Quinnipiac
(16-14, Home 7-7)
98 80 -4.0 64% Actual:
186 (30)
78 -1.0 63%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carnesecca Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Butler
(16-17, Road 2-10)
73 72 +5.0 33% 149 70 +7.0 8%
Saint John's
(21-13, Home 14-5)
77 77 -5.0 67% Actual:
150 (1)
77 -7.0 92%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hagan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Saint Bonaventure
(18-16, Road 6-7)
76 67 -1.0 54% 133 69 -7.5 94%
Saint Joseph's
(14-19, Home 10-6)
51 66 +1.0 46% Actual:
127 (-6)
62 +7.5 6%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
SIU Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Drake
(22-10, Road 7-6)
72 69 +2.0 42% 140 69 +0.5 51%
Southern Illinois
(17-15, Home 9-6)
69 71 -2.0 58% Actual:
141 (1)
70 -0.5 49%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Frank Erwin Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Kansas State
(25-9, Road 7-5)
71 58 +3.0 39% 119 58 +0.5 51%
Texas
(21-16, Home 15-6)
64 61 -3.0 61% Actual:
135 (16)
59 -0.5 49%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reed Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia
(11-21, Road 2-9)
56 68 +6.0 30% 142 64 +12.5 1%
Texas A&M
(14-18, Home 9-8)
73 74 -6.0 70% Actual:
129 (-13)
77 -12.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Thomas & Mack Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Air Force
(13-18, Road 3-9)
72 66 +9.0 22% 141 64 +11.5 2%
UNLV
(17-14, Home 10-7)
77 75 -9.0 78% Actual:
149 (8)
75 -11.5 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
University Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Northern Illinois
(15-17, Road 5-9)
74 75 -5.0 67% 145 77 -11.0 98%
Western Michigan
(7-24, Home 4-9)
76 70 +5.0 33% Actual:
150 (5)
66 +11.0 2%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Kohl Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan State
(32-7, Road 8-4)
67 66 -1.0 54% 131 70 -10.5 97%
Wisconsin
(23-11, Home 12-3)
59 65 +1.0 46% Actual:
126 (-5)
59 +10.5 3%